FC Thalwil vs Aarau II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
28.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Thalwil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
KOS
0 - 0
FCT
41%
24%
35%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
FCT
3 - 0
SUB
77%
15%
8%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
RSZ
1 - 0
FCT
53%
23%
25%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
KUS
1 - 3
FCT
42%
23%
35%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
FCT
1 - 0
LAN
37%
25%
38%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Aarau II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
AAR
3 - 4
FCO
75%
15%
10%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
DIE
1 - 1
AAR
34%
23%
43%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
AAR
0 - 1
FCW
48%
23%
29%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
AAR
1 - 1
SCH
72%
16%
12%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
FCE
0 - 3
AAR
10%
17%
74%
|
36 | 12 | 24 | +1 |