FC Thalwil vs Dardania St. Gallen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.7%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.8%
16.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
4º
13º
9º
35
3º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
56% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 43 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
68.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
40 | 41 |
9º
|
24.5% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
56% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Thalwil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
FCB
2 - 1
FCT
37%
22%
41%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
UST
1 - 3
FCT
34%
24%
42%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
TAG
2 - 0
FCT
15%
19%
66%
|
35 | 17 | 18 | -2 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
FCT
5 - 1
SVS
24%
21%
55%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | +6 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
CHU
2 - 2
FCT
50%
23%
28%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Dardania St. Gallen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
DSG
3 - 3
DUB
44%
21%
34%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
TAG
5 - 3
DSG
28%
21%
51%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
DSG
2 - 2
SVS
18%
19%
64%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
CHU
2 - 1
DSG
58%
20%
22%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
DSG
1 - 2
FRA
30%
21%
49%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |