FC Telavi vs Samtredia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
26.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
4º
10º
9º
27
8º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Telavi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2024 |
TEL
2 - 1
SAM
28%
27%
45%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
GAG
2 - 0
TEL
41%
27%
32%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
TEL
1 - 1
KOL
34%
28%
38%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
DBA
1 - 1
TEL
73%
17%
10%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2024 |
TEL
0 - 1
GOR
23%
28%
49%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Samtredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2024 |
SAM
0 - 0
GOR
20%
26%
54%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
SAM
4 - 0
SAM
60%
23%
18%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2024 |
SAM
0 - 0
DTB
17%
23%
59%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
GAG
2 - 1
SAM
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2024 |
SAM
0 - 3
SAB
18%
24%
58%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |