FC Telavi vs Samtredia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
26.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
6º
10º
8º
33
3º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Telavi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
TEL
2 - 2
GOR
23%
28%
49%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2023 |
SAB
3 - 0
TEL
61%
23%
16%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
TEL
1 - 4
DBA
14%
24%
62%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
FTK
2 - 1
TEL
64%
22%
14%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
TEL
2 - 2
DTB
14%
25%
61%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Samtredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
SAM
2 - 1
SAM
61%
23%
16%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2023 |
SAM
1 - 2
GAG
50%
25%
25%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
SAM
0 - 2
SHU
44%
27%
29%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
GOR
1 - 0
SAM
63%
22%
15%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
SAM
3 - 3
SAB
24%
26%
50%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |