Tavannes / Tramelan vs Aarau II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
3%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
72.1%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
14.8%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.4%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tavannes / Tramelan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2014 |
TAV
1 - 0
GRA
40%
23%
37%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
BER
3 - 0
TAV
79%
14%
8%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2014 |
TAV
2 - 1
FCC
51%
22%
28%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
TAV
0 - 2
BUM
20%
20%
60%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
ALL
0 - 0
TAV
64%
19%
17%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
AAR
5 - 0
POR
81%
12%
7%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
GRA
2 - 5
AAR
17%
19%
64%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
AAR
3 - 1
SCH
79%
13%
8%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
BAS
1 - 3
AAR
17%
19%
64%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
AAR
1 - 1
LAN
44%
23%
34%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |