Tarigrad vs Pepeni analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
35.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-59%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tarigrad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
CFR
1 - 0
FCT
21%
19%
60%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
FCT
0 - 1
VCU
21%
21%
58%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
ARO
7 - 0
FCT
72%
16%
12%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
FCT
2 - 6
FCE
30%
22%
49%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
EFV
6 - 1
FCT
54%
21%
24%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Pepeni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
FCP
1 - 4
FCO
28%
20%
52%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
CFR
1 - 2
FCP
16%
20%
65%
|
27 | 13 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
FCP
0 - 1
FLA
12%
16%
72%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
FCP
0 - 3
CFS
63%
19%
18%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
VCU
1 - 0
FCP
73%
16%
12%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | -1 |