Tarigrad vs Pepeni analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
35.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-59%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
6º
10º
8º
39
2º
12º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 49 |
2º
|
95.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
39 | 48 |
3º
|
15% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 48 |
4º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 46 |
5º
|
80% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 45 |
6º
|
11% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 45 |
7º
|
7.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
34 | 41 |
8º
|
99% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 38 |
9º
|
99% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 20 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 10 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 1 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tarigrad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
FCT
3 - 2
SIN
13%
18%
69%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
FCE
4 - 0
FCT
74%
16%
10%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FCT
0 - 1
ISK
21%
23%
56%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
GRA
0 - 0
FCT
27%
21%
52%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
FCT
2 - 0
CFR
86%
10%
5%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Pepeni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
EFV
0 - 2
FCP
25%
22%
53%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
FCP
1 - 2
CFS
54%
20%
27%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FCP
2 - 0
FCV
75%
14%
11%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SIN
0 - 2
FCP
81%
12%
7%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
FCP
3 - 0
FCE
23%
23%
55%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | +3 |