Tarigrad vs Cruiz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
51.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
6º
10º
8º
0
14º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 49 |
2º
|
95.5% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 48 |
3º
|
15% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 48 |
4º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 46 |
5º
|
80% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 45 |
6º
|
11% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 45 |
7º
|
7.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
34 | 41 |
8º
|
99% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 38 |
9º
|
99% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 20 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 10 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
0 | 1 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tarigrad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
FCO
1 - 3
FCT
56%
20%
24%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
FCT
1 - 2
VCU
49%
21%
30%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
FCV
1 - 0
FCT
40%
22%
38%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
EFV
1 - 3
FCT
38%
22%
40%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
FCT
2 - 3
CFS
36%
24%
40%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Cruiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2022 |
CRU
4 - 2
ARO
87%
9%
4%
|
48 | 22 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
GRA
1 - 1
CRU
11%
20%
69%
|
48 | 26 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
FCO
1 - 2
CRU
42%
25%
34%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
CRU
7 - 2
CFR
82%
12%
6%
|
48 | 21 | 27 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
SIN
4 - 2
CRU
62%
20%
18%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |