FC Sursee vs Mendrisio-Stabio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
48.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Sursee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2021 |
WIL
0 - 2
FCS
60%
19%
21%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
FCS
3 - 2
NOV
39%
21%
40%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2020 |
HER
4 - 0
FCS
72%
16%
13%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
FCS
0 - 2
TEA
45%
21%
34%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
BRU
3 - 1
FCS
43%
22%
35%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Mendrisio-Stabio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
MEN
2 - 0
IBA
57%
22%
21%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
TAV
2 - 0
MEN
41%
25%
34%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
MEN
2 - 2
FCC
75%
16%
10%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
PER
0 - 3
MEN
25%
22%
54%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
MEN
2 - 1
EMM
54%
21%
25%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |