FC Sursee vs Kickers Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.6%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
19.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
8º
13º
12º
36
2º
13º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 40 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
91% | |
|
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
74% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
74% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
10 | 10 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Sursee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
FCS
3 - 0
IBA
57%
21%
22%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
ESC
0 - 1
FCS
17%
20%
63%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
FCS
1 - 3
MEN
37%
24%
39%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
FCC
2 - 2
FCS
69%
17%
14%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
HER
0 - 2
FCS
54%
21%
25%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Kickers Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
IBA
2 - 1
LUZ
40%
24%
36%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
LUZ
0 - 0
ESC
76%
15%
9%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
MEN
4 - 0
LUZ
62%
20%
17%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
LUZ
0 - 2
FCC
28%
22%
50%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
HER
1 - 1
LUZ
50%
22%
28%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |