FC Sursee vs Ibach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
37.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+73%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Sursee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
TAV
3 - 4
FCS
57%
22%
22%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
FCS
2 - 2
FCA
51%
23%
25%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
GOL
2 - 3
FCS
51%
23%
26%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
FCS
3 - 3
ESC
65%
20%
15%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
BAL
1 - 4
FCS
12%
19%
68%
|
26 | 10 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Ibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
IBA
0 - 2
LUG
7%
13%
81%
|
31 | 69 | 38 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
IBA
3 - 1
EMM
50%
24%
26%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
LSS
2 - 2
IBA
57%
21%
22%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
TAV
2 - 2
IBA
44%
24%
32%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
IBA
4 - 1
FCA
61%
21%
18%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |