FC Sursee vs Hergiswil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
53.5%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Sursee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2018 |
SCH
0 - 2
FCS
78%
14%
9%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
FCS
0 - 2
BLA
15%
19%
67%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
LAN
2 - 1
FCS
71%
17%
13%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
FCS
1 - 0
LUZ
69%
17%
14%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
BUO
4 - 0
FCS
81%
13%
7%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
HER
3 - 1
SAR
84%
11%
5%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
HER
2 - 1
ESC
76%
15%
9%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2018 |
HER
5 - 2
HOC
88%
9%
3%
|
35 | 16 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
FCA
0 - 1
HER
15%
16%
68%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
HER
2 - 0
GOL
39%
22%
39%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |