FC Sursee vs Hergiswil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
28.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Sursee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
FCS
3 - 0
LSS
43%
24%
34%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
EMM
4 - 1
FCS
40%
24%
37%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
FCS
0 - 2
FCB
62%
21%
17%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
VED
2 - 1
FCS
20%
22%
58%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
FCS
4 - 2
BUO
43%
24%
34%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
HER
1 - 1
IBA
46%
23%
31%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
FCA
2 - 0
HER
30%
23%
47%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | -2 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
ESC
1 - 3
HER
29%
23%
48%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2011 |
HER
1 - 3
LOC
13%
17%
70%
|
29 | 51 | 22 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
EMM
1 - 3
HER
41%
23%
36%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +1 |