Sumy vs Illichivets II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
22.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sumy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
STA
1 - 1
SUM
68%
20%
13%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
SUM
3 - 1
OKM
41%
27%
32%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +2 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
OLI
4 - 3
SUM
78%
15%
7%
|
41 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
SUM
1 - 3
TYT
18%
25%
57%
|
42 | 61 | 19 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
HSP
1 - 2
SUM
47%
26%
27%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Illichivets II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
ILL
2 - 2
DPD
45%
25%
30%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
ILL
0 - 1
SHA
37%
27%
36%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
BAR
2 - 1
ILL
65%
20%
15%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
ILL
2 - 1
MET
55%
22%
23%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
KRE
2 - 0
ILL
67%
20%
14%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |