Südtirol U19 vs FC Alessandria U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.9%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
60.9%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
1º
14º
12º
23
9º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Südtirol U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
REN
1 - 0
SUD
27%
21%
53%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
SUD
2 - 2
CIT
33%
22%
46%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
SUD
0 - 4
VEN
11%
15%
75%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
ABL
1 - 3
SUD
65%
18%
17%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
REG
1 - 3
SUD
71%
16%
13%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
FC Alessandria U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
USA
1 - 0
VEN
16%
18%
66%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
CRE
4 - 0
USA
83%
11%
6%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
USA
1 - 3
REG
51%
21%
28%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
USA
2 - 2
FER
51%
21%
29%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
PAR
3 - 1
USA
78%
14%
9%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | 0 |