Südtirol U19 vs Modena U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.4%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
16.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
1º
11º
7º
38
1º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
68% | |
|
|
7º
|
37 | 38 |
7º
|
68% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 31 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
26 | 26 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Südtirol U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
REG
0 - 1
SUD
39%
23%
38%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
BRE
2 - 3
SUD
55%
20%
25%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
SUD
2 - 2
PAR
19%
19%
62%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
CRE
1 - 0
SUD
77%
15%
9%
|
23 | 48 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
SUD
2 - 1
SPA
27%
22%
52%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Modena U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
MOD
6 - 1
SPA
18%
19%
63%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
SAL
5 - 0
MOD
61%
20%
20%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
MOD
0 - 1
SAM
12%
21%
68%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
FIO
1 - 0
MOD
89%
9%
3%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
MOD
2 - 2
SAS
10%
18%
72%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | +1 |