Südtirol U19 vs Brescia U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.8%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.2%
55.3%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
1º
14º
12º
38
2º
13º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Südtirol U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
PAR
3 - 2
SUD
79%
13%
8%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
SUD
5 - 0
FER
37%
22%
41%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +2 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
COM
2 - 2
SUD
80%
12%
8%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
UDI
5 - 0
SUD
50%
22%
29%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
SUD
2 - 0
USA
20%
19%
61%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Brescia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
BRE
5 - 0
CIT
69%
17%
14%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
REG
1 - 0
BRE
23%
20%
56%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
VIC
0 - 3
BRE
50%
22%
29%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
BRE
0 - 2
PAR
22%
21%
58%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SPA
4 - 1
BRE
49%
23%
28%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |