FC Südtirol vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
51.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Südtirol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
FCS
1 - 1
REA
63%
22%
15%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
FCS
0 - 1
FER
51%
25%
23%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
REN
1 - 0
FCS
24%
27%
49%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
FCS
1 - 2
USA
53%
25%
23%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
PRO
1 - 0
FCS
22%
26%
53%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
NOV
3 - 0
VNZ
70%
20%
11%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
COM
1 - 0
NOV
25%
25%
50%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
BV5
1 - 2
NOV
17%
24%
59%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
NOV
2 - 0
SAS
78%
16%
6%
|
66 | 46 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
PAV
3 - 3
NOV
25%
26%
49%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |