FC Südtirol vs Giana Erminio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
15%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Südtirol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
FCS
2 - 0
TRE
65%
22%
13%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
ABN
1 - 1
FCS
33%
30%
37%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
FCS
1 - 0
VIR
61%
23%
16%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
PRG
1 - 0
FCS
67%
19%
14%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
SAS
0 - 0
FCS
87%
9%
3%
|
58 | 84 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Giana Erminio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
GER
0 - 1
LEC
43%
26%
32%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
MAN
1 - 1
GER
52%
24%
25%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
GER
1 - 0
PRO
62%
21%
17%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
VIR
2 - 2
GER
45%
25%
30%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
GER
0 - 1
CRO
8%
15%
77%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | 0 |