FC Südtirol vs Frosinone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
42.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
1º
20º
11º
40
10º
20º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
72 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 66 |
3º
|
97% | |
|
4º
|
61 | 61 |
4º
|
97% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 55 |
5º
|
34% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 55 |
6º
|
34% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 54 |
7º
|
57.5% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 51 |
8º
|
50% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 48 |
9º
|
33.5% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 48 |
10º
|
28.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
47 | 48 |
11º
|
28.5% | |
|
13º
|
44 | 44 |
12º
|
27.5% | |
|
12º
|
44 | 44 |
13º
|
47% | |
|
14º
|
43 | 43 |
14º
|
36.5% | |
|
17º
|
39 | 42 |
15º
|
9.5% | |
|
15º
|
40 | 41 |
16º
|
12% | |
|
18º
|
39 | 40 |
17º
|
2.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
40 | 40 |
18º
|
23.5% | |
|
19º
|
39 | 40 |
19º
|
23% | |
|
20º
|
30 | 34 |
20º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
16.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
83.5% | 10.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 63.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 26% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Südtirol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
FCC
3 - 0
FCS
57%
24%
20%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
FCS
1 - 2
PIS
38%
27%
35%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
NUO
0 - 2
FCS
41%
29%
31%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2024 |
FCS
1 - 3
PAL
36%
27%
36%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
SAM
1 - 0
FCS
49%
26%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Frosinone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
FRO
0 - 0
PIS
58%
22%
20%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
REG
2 - 0
FRO
26%
26%
48%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
FRO
0 - 1
CAR
77%
16%
7%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
CTT
1 - 2
FRO
28%
27%
45%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
FRO
0 - 3
BAR
65%
20%
15%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |