FC Südtirol vs Como analysis


59	ELO	58
-8.8%	Tilt	1.7%
468º	General ELO ranking	120º
34º	Country ELO ranking	19º
ELO win probability

42.6%

FC Südtirol

27.9%

Draw

29.4%

Como

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

42.6%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%

27.9%

Draw

0-0

9.9%

1-1

13.1%

2-2

4.3%

3-3

0.6%

4-4

0.1%

0

27.9%

29.4%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

+3%

+31%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FC Südtirol

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
19 Jan. 2014	PAV 0 - 0 FCS 26% 26% 48%	59	50	9	0
12 Jan. 2014	FCS 2 - 0 ABN 33% 28% 39%	57	60	3	+2
05 Jan. 2014	REG 1 - 2 FCS 36% 26% 38%	57	52	5	0
22 Dec. 2013	FCS 2 - 0 PRO 66% 21% 12%	57	44	13	0
15 Dec. 2013	SAN 0 - 3 FCS 31% 26% 43%	56	48	8	+1

Matches

Como

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO
19 Jan. 2014	COM 0 - 0 SAN 67% 21% 13%	58	47	11
12 Jan. 2014	VIC 0 - 1 COM 59% 23% 18%	58	63	5
05 Jan. 2014	COM 0 - 0 ACD 43% 28% 29%	58	60	2
22 Dec. 2013	PAV 1 - 1 COM 31% 27% 42%	58	51	7
15 Dec. 2013	COM 1 - 1 CAR 66% 21% 14%	58	48	10