UCL Qualifying First Round Final
Global 1-2
Struga vs Zalgiris Vilnius analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
54.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Struga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2023 |
ZAL
0 - 0
FCS
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
TIR
2 - 1
FCS
64%
20%
16%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2023 |
PAR
1 - 0
FCS
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2023 |
FCS
2 - 2
KFB
32%
26%
42%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
MAK
1 - 1
FCS
44%
26%
31%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Zalgiris Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2023 |
ZAL
0 - 0
FCS
64%
21%
15%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2023 |
ZAL
3 - 0
TRA
70%
20%
11%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
BAN
1 - 4
ZAL
11%
21%
68%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2023 |
KZA
2 - 5
ZAL
31%
26%
43%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2023 |
DTE
1 - 2
ZAL
8%
20%
72%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | 0 |