Struga vs Tikvesh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.7%
20.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
66
1º
2º
1º
37
2º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 63 |
2º
|
94.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 58 |
3º
|
94% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 51 |
4º
|
98.5% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 42 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 42 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
37 | 41 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
51.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
11º
|
83.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 14 |
12º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 36.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 63.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Struga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
VAN
1 - 2
FCS
6%
14%
80%
|
69 | 33 | 36 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
FCS
3 - 0
FKS
65%
23%
12%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
AKP
0 - 3
FCS
44%
28%
29%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
FCS
2 - 1
SIL
46%
28%
26%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
SHK
0 - 2
FCS
44%
28%
28%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Tikvesh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
KGE
0 - 2
TIK
9%
19%
72%
|
60 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
TIK
2 - 1
AKP
34%
27%
39%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
TIK
3 - 1
SHK
28%
28%
44%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
SIL
3 - 2
TIK
57%
24%
19%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
TIK
1 - 3
SHK
23%
24%
53%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |