UCL Qualifying First Round Final
Global 3-6
Struga vs Slovan Bratislava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.5%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
62.5%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Struga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
SBR
4 - 2
FCS
73%
17%
10%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2024 |
FCS
2 - 0
LLA
30%
24%
46%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
TIR
0 - 1
FCS
48%
24%
28%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2024 |
PAR
0 - 1
FCS
50%
25%
26%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2024 |
FCS
3 - 4
TIK
57%
23%
21%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Slovan Bratislava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
SBR
4 - 2
FCS
73%
17%
10%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
GYI
1 - 0
SBR
13%
18%
69%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
SBR
1 - 0
PET
66%
19%
15%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
CLU
1 - 0
SBR
40%
25%
36%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
FCB
1 - 5
SBR
46%
23%
31%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |