Struga vs KF Shkëndija analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
36.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
66
1º
2º
1º
54
1º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 63 |
2º
|
94.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
54 | 58 |
3º
|
94% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 51 |
4º
|
98.5% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 42 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 42 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 41 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
51.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
11º
|
83.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 14 |
12º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 99.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Struga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
FCS
2 - 0
BRE
46%
25%
29%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
RAB
1 - 1
FCS
33%
29%
39%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
FCS
2 - 2
BRE
47%
27%
26%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
POB
2 - 0
FCS
16%
27%
58%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SHK
1 - 0
FCS
46%
28%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
KF Shkëndija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
SHK
0 - 3
SHK
41%
24%
35%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
SHK
1 - 1
AKP
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SIL
1 - 1
SHK
37%
26%
37%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
FKS
0 - 1
SHK
10%
20%
70%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
RAB
2 - 4
SHK
25%
25%
49%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |