Struga vs Shkupi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
26.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
64
1º
8º
2º
62
1º
12º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Struga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
SHK
0 - 2
FCS
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
FCS
1 - 0
GOS
60%
23%
17%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
TIK
3 - 2
FCS
34%
28%
38%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
FCS
2 - 3
SIL
59%
24%
17%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
MAK
0 - 1
FCS
24%
28%
48%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Shkupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
SHK
0 - 0
AKP
65%
22%
14%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
SHK
0 - 2
SHK
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
GOS
2 - 0
SHK
26%
28%
46%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
SHK
3 - 2
TIK
62%
23%
16%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
SIL
0 - 0
SHK
28%
28%
43%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |