Struga vs Shkupi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
28.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
66
1º
2º
1º
59
1º
11º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
59 | 63 |
2º
|
94.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 58 |
3º
|
94% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 51 |
4º
|
98.5% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 42 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 42 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 41 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
51.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
11º
|
83.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 14 |
12º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Struga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2023 |
SHK
1 - 2
FCS
45%
28%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
FCS
3 - 0
SIL
48%
28%
24%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
BRE
0 - 3
FCS
37%
29%
35%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
FCS
2 - 0
TIK
55%
25%
20%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
FCS
6 - 2
POB
72%
20%
8%
|
69 | 47 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Shkupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2023 |
SHK
3 - 0
MAK
48%
26%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
SHK
2 - 1
SHK
46%
25%
29%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
SIL
0 - 2
SHK
42%
28%
31%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
SHK
3 - 0
BRE
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
TIK
0 - 0
SHK
30%
27%
43%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |