Struga vs Novaci analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.9%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
10.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Struga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
GOS
1 - 0
FCS
27%
26%
47%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
FCS
1 - 0
GOR
73%
18%
10%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
FKL
0 - 0
FCS
24%
25%
52%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
ZAJ
1 - 1
FCS
11%
20%
69%
|
58 | 35 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2017 |
FCS
2 - 2
REN
16%
19%
66%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Novaci
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
LOK
3 - 0
NOV
42%
24%
33%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
NOV
1 - 2
GOS
39%
26%
35%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
GOR
2 - 1
NOV
43%
25%
33%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
FKL
1 - 0
NOV
45%
24%
31%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
NOV
6 - 1
ZAJ
65%
20%
15%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | +1 |