Struga vs FK Pobeda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
16.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.5%
1-0
17.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.8%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
8.2%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
66
1º
2º
1º
13
9º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 63 |
2º
|
94.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 58 |
3º
|
94% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 51 |
4º
|
98.5% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 42 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 42 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 41 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
51.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
11º
|
83.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
13 | 14 |
12º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Struga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
FKS
1 - 1
FCS
16%
27%
57%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
FCS
1 - 0
SIL
48%
26%
27%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
FCS
3 - 1
AKP
50%
27%
23%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
RAB
0 - 1
FCS
32%
29%
40%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
FCS
0 - 0
MAK
44%
28%
29%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FK Pobeda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
POB
0 - 6
SHK
12%
23%
65%
|
48 | 69 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
SHK
2 - 0
POB
74%
19%
8%
|
48 | 69 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
POB
1 - 5
SIL
16%
26%
58%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
BRE
4 - 0
POB
72%
19%
10%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
AKP
3 - 0
POB
69%
19%
12%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | -1 |