Struga vs Gostivar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
16.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
64
1º
8º
2º
42
4º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Struga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2024 |
TIK
3 - 2
FCS
34%
28%
38%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
FCS
2 - 3
SIL
59%
24%
17%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
MAK
0 - 1
FCS
24%
28%
48%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
FCS
2 - 2
BRE
65%
21%
14%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
VAR
1 - 0
FCS
21%
27%
52%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Gostivar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2024 |
GOS
2 - 0
SHK
26%
28%
46%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
SHK
4 - 1
GOS
61%
23%
16%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
GOS
1 - 1
AKP
49%
25%
26%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
GOS
2 - 1
TIK
40%
27%
33%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
SIL
0 - 0
GOS
54%
25%
21%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |