Struga vs AP Brera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
18.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
6º
4º
34
2º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Struga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2025 |
VAR
0 - 0
FCS
40%
28%
33%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
FCS
1 - 1
SHK
42%
27%
31%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
SIL
0 - 0
FCS
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2025 |
FCS
1 - 1
SHK
42%
25%
33%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
FCS
1 - 1
GOS
45%
28%
28%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
AP Brera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2025 |
AKP
4 - 3
SHK
26%
27%
48%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
BES
2 - 1
AKP
40%
26%
34%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2025 |
AKP
3 - 0
VOK
41%
25%
34%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2025 |
AKP
1 - 1
VAR
29%
25%
46%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
TIK
2 - 1
AKP
49%
26%
25%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |