Struga vs AP Brera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
21.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
64
1º
8º
2º
39
1º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Struga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2023 |
SWI
2 - 1
FCS
63%
20%
18%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2023 |
FCS
3 - 1
SWI
31%
24%
45%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
FCS
2 - 0
GOS
60%
24%
16%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2023 |
BUD
3 - 4
FCS
53%
23%
24%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2023 |
FCS
1 - 0
BUD
41%
25%
34%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
AP Brera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
AKP
2 - 0
VOK
46%
25%
28%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
AKP
1 - 0
VAR
50%
26%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2023 |
TEU
2 - 2
AKP
55%
24%
22%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
AKP
0 - 0
SEL
84%
11%
5%
|
61 | 13 | 48 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
AKP
2 - 2
SIL
40%
28%
33%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |