Stengefort vs Koeppchen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.5%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.6%
55.8%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
5.2%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
4%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stengefort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
CBG
6 - 1
FCS
70%
16%
15%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
FCS
1 - 3
JEU
24%
21%
55%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2020 |
BAS
3 - 4
FCS
49%
21%
30%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Koeppchen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
KOE
6 - 0
OBE
72%
15%
12%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
KOE
1 - 0
OBE
76%
14%
10%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
SPO
4 - 3
KOE
34%
23%
42%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
KOE
2 - 2
SYR
77%
14%
10%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
GRE
4 - 0
KOE
55%
23%
22%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -1 |