Spinea vs Mestre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
74.1%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
10%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.2%
0-4
6%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.3%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
CAL
2 - 0
SPI
83%
12%
5%
|
18 | 41 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
SPI
0 - 2
CAR
14%
19%
67%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
ADB
3 - 0
SPI
81%
12%
7%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
SPI
1 - 1
GSD
26%
23%
52%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
CAM
2 - 0
SPI
80%
13%
7%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Mestre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
DEL
1 - 1
MES
29%
25%
46%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
MES
2 - 1
CJA
52%
23%
25%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
CAL
2 - 1
MES
46%
23%
31%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
MES
2 - 0
CAR
50%
24%
26%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
MON
0 - 1
MES
29%
25%
47%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |