Spiez vs Moutier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.1%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
54.4%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spiez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
FCK
2 - 0
FCS
66%
18%
16%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
FCS
3 - 2
FCC
64%
18%
18%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
CON
6 - 0
FCS
39%
20%
40%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | -2 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
FCS
2 - 5
DOR
37%
23%
40%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
OLD
4 - 0
FCS
65%
18%
18%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Moutier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
MOU
2 - 2
LER
67%
18%
15%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
MUT
1 - 2
MOU
41%
22%
37%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
MOU
0 - 3
FCA
40%
22%
37%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
BUB
3 - 0
MOU
29%
22%
49%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -2 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
MOU
2 - 2
BIN
68%
17%
15%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | -1 |