Spiez vs Lerchenfeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
49.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spiez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
BER
1 - 1
FCS
61%
21%
18%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2011 |
ROM
1 - 2
FCS
47%
23%
29%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
FCS
2 - 5
LAU
25%
23%
52%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
THI
1 - 2
FCS
45%
24%
31%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
FCS
1 - 2
BUM
38%
23%
39%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Lerchenfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
LER
8 - 1
THI
80%
13%
7%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
BUM
0 - 2
LER
42%
23%
35%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
LER
6 - 3
DUR
72%
16%
12%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
FCL
2 - 3
LER
22%
22%
56%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
LER
0 - 1
TPA
67%
18%
15%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |