Spiez vs Langnau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.3%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
16.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spiez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
TPA
2 - 2
FCS
48%
22%
29%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
FCS
3 - 1
FCE
68%
18%
14%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
FCK
0 - 0
FCS
63%
20%
17%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
FCS
2 - 2
POR
36%
23%
41%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
SEC
1 - 1
FCS
56%
23%
22%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Langnau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
FCL
1 - 0
THI
54%
22%
24%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
BUM
3 - 2
FCL
70%
16%
13%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
FCL
1 - 0
DUR
35%
23%
42%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
LAU
2 - 1
FCL
80%
13%
7%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
TPA
4 - 4
FCL
68%
17%
15%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |