Spiez vs Romontois analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.7%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
45.6%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
2º
16º
14º
43
5º
15º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 48 |
4º
|
84.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
28% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 45 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
27% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 44 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
9º
|
25.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 43 |
10º
|
64.5% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 40 |
11º
|
82% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 36 |
12º
|
91% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 30 |
13º
|
80% | |
|
|
14º
|
22 | 25 |
14º
|
71.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 20 |
15º
|
53% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 14 |
16º
|
77.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
95% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spiez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
BBB
4 - 1
FCS
77%
13%
10%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
FAR
2 - 3
FCS
54%
21%
25%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
FCS
0 - 1
FCA
22%
20%
58%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2023 |
GUM
3 - 0
FCS
42%
21%
37%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
FCS
2 - 0
FCC
28%
22%
50%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Romontois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
ROM
2 - 0
FCC
26%
21%
54%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
FCA
4 - 1
ROM
65%
19%
17%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
MAT
1 - 3
ROM
12%
16%
72%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
ROM
2 - 1
TPA
39%
22%
39%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
ROM
2 - 1
BBB
15%
17%
67%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | +2 |