FC Spich vs SSV Merten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.7%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
7%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.2%
23%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+518%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Spich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
SPI
3 - 1
SPV
70%
16%
14%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
ALT
7 - 1
SPI
42%
22%
36%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -2 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
SPI
1 - 6
BSC
15%
18%
67%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
SPI
1 - 0
FOR
83%
11%
6%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
SSV Merten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
MER
4 - 0
FVW
74%
15%
12%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
RHE
0 - 2
MER
55%
20%
25%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
KON
4 - 1
MER
68%
18%
15%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2021 |
MER
0 - 4
SCF
35%
21%
44%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
SCF
3 - 5
MER
53%
20%
26%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |