Speranța Drochia vs FCM Ungheni analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.6%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.7%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
67%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
1º
11º
11º
22
3º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 34 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 28 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 26 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 16 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
15 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 12 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
11 | 11 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 10 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Speranța Drochia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ISK
0 - 5
FCS
69%
18%
14%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
FCS
4 - 2
STA
26%
23%
51%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | +4 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
GAG
2 - 1
FCS
77%
14%
9%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
FCS
1 - 2
SPA
22%
21%
56%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
GAG
7 - 0
FCS
74%
15%
11%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
FCM Ungheni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
FCV
3 - 2
UNG
67%
18%
16%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
ISK
1 - 1
UNG
26%
22%
52%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
FST
3 - 2
UNG
20%
19%
62%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -2 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
FLA
2 - 2
UNG
14%
17%
68%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
UNG
2 - 2
FST
78%
14%
8%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |