UCL Qualifying First Round Final
Global 2-1
Spartak Trnava vs Zrinjski Mostar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
28.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Trnava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2018 |
TNV
0 - 1
BAN
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
TNV
0 - 3
SIG
39%
26%
35%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2018 |
TNV
4 - 2
SLO
52%
25%
23%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2018 |
VJI
1 - 1
TNV
34%
25%
41%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
TNV
0 - 0
ZBR
60%
23%
17%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Zrinjski Mostar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2018 |
ZRI
3 - 0
RAD
67%
20%
14%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2018 |
ZRI
2 - 1
GOR
61%
21%
18%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2018 |
YEN
1 - 1
ZRI
43%
26%
32%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2018 |
MAT
0 - 1
ZRI
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
ZRI
4 - 0
KRU
65%
21%
14%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |