Q. Europa League 2nd Round Final
Global 3-0
Spartak Trnava vs Zestafoni analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
21.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Trnava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
DAC
0 - 0
TNV
23%
27%
50%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2014 |
ZES
0 - 0
TNV
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2014 |
TNV
3 - 0
ZMO
63%
22%
15%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2014 |
TNV
5 - 0
HIB
55%
22%
23%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2014 |
HIB
2 - 4
TNV
45%
23%
32%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Zestafoni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2014 |
ZES
0 - 0
TNV
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
ZES
0 - 0
SIO
63%
23%
14%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
CHI
2 - 3
ZES
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2014 |
GUR
0 - 5
ZES
28%
27%
45%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
ZES
3 - 2
DTB
38%
26%
36%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |