Q. Europa League Preliminary round Final
Global 3-1
Spartak Trnava vs Vllaznia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.7%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
17.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Trnava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1999 |
DUB
1 - 0
TNV
32%
27%
41%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1999 |
TNV
1 - 0
NIT
68%
19%
13%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1999 |
VLZ
1 - 1
TNV
57%
22%
21%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1999 |
BRA
0 - 0
TNV
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 1999 |
TNV
3 - 0
DAC
71%
18%
12%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Vllaznia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 1999 |
VLZ
1 - 1
TNV
57%
22%
21%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1999 |
LUS
1 - 2
VLZ
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1999 |
VLZ
3 - 1
ELB
73%
18%
10%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1999 |
TIR
1 - 0
VLZ
53%
26%
21%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1999 |
VLZ
4 - 1
BUR
81%
13%
6%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |