Q. Europa League 3rd Round Final
Global 1-3
Spartak Trnava vs FCSB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
23.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Trnava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
TNV
0 - 1
SBR
51%
26%
23%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2012 |
STB
0 - 1
TNV
52%
25%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
TNV
1 - 1
SMY
68%
21%
12%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2012 |
SLR
1 - 1
TNV
51%
24%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2012 |
TNV
3 - 1
SLR
50%
25%
25%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
FCSB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
STB
5 - 1
UCL
45%
27%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2012 |
STB
0 - 1
TNV
52%
25%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
AST
3 - 4
STB
42%
30%
29%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2012 |
STB
1 - 0
CON
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
CLU
1 - 1
STB
52%
26%
21%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |