Q. Europa League 2nd Round Final
Global 4-2
Spartak Trnava vs Sligo Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
24.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Trnava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
TNV
0 - 0
KOS
70%
20%
10%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
NIT
0 - 2
TNV
31%
28%
41%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2012 |
TNV
3 - 0
RUZ
56%
24%
20%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
ZMO
0 - 2
TNV
38%
27%
35%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
TNV
2 - 0
DUK
54%
25%
21%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Sligo Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2012 |
DER
1 - 2
SLR
36%
28%
36%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
SLR
1 - 1
BRW
77%
16%
7%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2012 |
DUN
1 - 2
SLR
24%
27%
49%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2012 |
SLR
4 - 0
DER
54%
23%
23%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +2 |
| 01 Jun. 2012 |
BOH
0 - 0
SLR
35%
29%
37%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |