Q. Europa League Second Round Final
Global 1-2
Spartak Trnava vs Sarajevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
23.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Trnava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2009 |
NIT
1 - 0
TNV
38%
28%
34%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2009 |
SAR
1 - 0
TNV
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2009 |
TNV
0 - 0
DUK
59%
24%
17%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2009 |
SHA
1 - 3
TNV
39%
27%
34%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2009 |
TNV
2 - 1
SHA
55%
23%
22%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sarajevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2009 |
SAR
1 - 0
TNV
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
SLA
2 - 1
SAR
42%
28%
30%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
SAR
4 - 0
POS
67%
20%
13%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
ZEL
2 - 0
SAR
43%
28%
30%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
SAR
1 - 0
LAK
67%
21%
12%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |