Spartak Trnava vs Lech Poznań analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
31.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Trnava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2023 |
LPO
2 - 1
TNV
50%
25%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
ZMO
1 - 1
TNV
25%
27%
48%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
TNV
4 - 1
AUD
54%
25%
21%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
TNV
1 - 2
TRE
43%
27%
31%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2023 |
AUD
1 - 1
TNV
36%
25%
39%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Lech Poznań
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2023 |
LPO
2 - 1
TNV
50%
25%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
ZAL
1 - 1
LPO
44%
27%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
KZA
1 - 2
LPO
32%
26%
42%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
LPO
2 - 0
RAD
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2023 |
LPO
3 - 1
KZA
57%
22%
21%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |