UCL Qualifying Second Round Final
Global 2-1
Spartak Trnava vs Legia Warszawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
32.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Trnava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
TNV
1 - 0
ZMO
67%
21%
12%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2018 |
WAR
0 - 2
TNV
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
SEN
1 - 0
TNV
22%
27%
51%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2018 |
ZRI
1 - 1
TNV
49%
25%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2018 |
TNV
1 - 0
ZRI
45%
27%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Legia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
KOR
1 - 2
WAR
38%
26%
36%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2018 |
WAR
0 - 2
TNV
52%
24%
24%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
WAR
1 - 3
ZAL
56%
24%
20%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
WAR
3 - 0
CAO
52%
24%
23%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
WAR
2 - 3
ARK
59%
21%
20%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | -1 |