Q. Europa League First Round Final
Global 6-0
Spartak Trnava vs Hibernians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
26.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Trnava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2016 |
SIG
1 - 1
TNV
40%
25%
36%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2016 |
TNV
0 - 3
TER
62%
22%
16%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2016 |
TNV
3 - 2
ZMO
61%
23%
17%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2016 |
POD
3 - 0
TNV
27%
27%
46%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
TNV
3 - 0
ZEM
70%
20%
10%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Hibernians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
VAL
1 - 1
HIB
39%
25%
36%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
BIR
2 - 1
HIB
35%
25%
40%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
HIB
3 - 1
BAL
63%
21%
16%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
TAR
0 - 1
HIB
21%
22%
57%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
HIB
3 - 1
FLO
66%
19%
15%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |