Q. Europa League Preliminary Round Final
Global 9-2
Spartak Trnava vs Hibernians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
23.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Trnava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2014 |
HIB
2 - 4
TNV
45%
23%
32%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
TNV
1 - 2
SBR
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2014 |
DAC
1 - 0
TNV
24%
26%
49%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2014 |
NIT
3 - 0
TNV
26%
26%
48%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
TNV
4 - 0
DUK
57%
24%
19%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Hibernians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2014 |
HIB
2 - 4
TNV
45%
23%
32%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2014 |
HIB
1 - 3
SLI
65%
20%
15%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
HIB
1 - 4
BIR
53%
23%
24%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
BAL
4 - 4
HIB
15%
20%
65%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
VAL
3 - 2
HIB
39%
25%
36%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |